Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.166815 0.197219 0.231263 0.272163 0.319919 0.373874 0.439414
2025-08-10 0.116023 0.153303 0.199566 0.261013 0.340296 0.438943 0.570786
2025-08-17 0.086389 0.124214 0.174948 0.247607 0.348588 0.483503 0.676898
2025-08-24 0.071191 0.109739 0.164843 0.248762 0.372623 0.547861 0.813540
2025-08-31 0.057902 0.094947 0.150975 0.241044 0.381180 0.589587 0.921296
2025-09-07 0.050236 0.087033 0.145537 0.244186 0.404939 0.654663 1.069321
2025-09-14 0.043653 0.079579 0.139397 0.244789 0.423966 0.713607 1.213412
2025-09-21 0.037572 0.071873 0.131524 0.241050 0.434788 0.759794 1.341037
2025-09-28 0.032925 0.065899 0.125629 0.239609 0.448802 0.812004 1.483384
2025-10-05 0.030841 0.064320 0.127250 0.251590 0.487509 0.909945 1.714272
2025-10-12 0.029464 0.063867 0.130811 0.267455 0.534864 1.027591 1.991805
2025-10-19 0.027322 0.061521 0.130368 0.275447 0.568072 1.122511 2.236763
2025-10-26 0.024216 0.056878 0.125152 0.274172 0.584902 1.191928 2.447924
2025-11-02 0.020700 0.050779 0.116133 0.264010 0.582994 1.225844 2.595884
2025-11-09 0.017466 0.044732 0.106277 0.250566 0.572349 1.240891 2.707410
2025-11-16 0.015768 0.042000 0.103309 0.251746 0.592906 1.321454 2.961671
2025-11-23 0.013707 0.038001 0.096818 0.243942 0.592523 1.357790 3.126225
2025-11-30 0.012572 0.036157 0.095135 0.247119 0.617328 1.450750 3.422776
2025-12-07 0.011425 0.034076 0.092552 0.247729 0.636141 1.532331 3.702502
2025-12-14 0.010196 0.031544 0.088448 0.243948 0.643876 1.589520 3.932665
2025-12-21 0.009219 0.029544 0.085423 0.242489 0.657102 1.660713 4.202653
2025-12-28 0.008900 0.029432 0.087440 0.254608 0.706128 1.821838 4.702660
2026-01-04 0.008738 0.029768 0.090743 0.270655 0.767235 2.018341 5.307812